Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.838883 0.980751 1.139091 1.328910 1.550319 1.800475 2.104678
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.623109 0.814305 1.052209 1.370003 1.783638 2.304216 3.010054
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.495688 0.701493 0.978267 1.377735 1.940065 2.704483 3.824813
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.406452 0.613602 0.910297 1.366270 2.050258 3.039986 4.585028
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.343154 0.547774 0.857225 1.359307 2.154941 3.369983 5.372996
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.299184 0.501990 0.823951 1.372255 2.284759 3.746952 6.277590
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.252575 0.443507 0.760342 1.324309 2.305781 3.949037 6.922174
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.238482 0.436735 0.779454 1.414932 2.567471 4.576941 8.364912
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.206279 0.392927 0.728183 1.374066 2.591655 4.796615 9.115877
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.178458 0.352787 0.677425 1.325830 2.593539 4.972820 9.805444
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.155876 0.319188 0.633901 1.284368 2.600836 5.156818 10.529777
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.143383 0.303617 0.622630 1.303833 2.728636 5.585680 11.791210
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.138801 0.304037 0.644013 1.394276 3.016546 6.377256 13.921873
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.129868 0.294065 0.642971 1.438180 3.214527 7.013709 15.823155
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.118907 0.277980 0.626643 1.446348 3.335662 7.502362 17.469507
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.107748 0.259742 0.602964 1.434316 3.409019 7.894345 18.949550
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.098251 0.243977 0.582657 1.427006 3.491763 8.317136 20.559362
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.091161 0.232964 0.571842 1.440599 3.625694 8.875019 22.570849
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.081047 0.212982 0.536932 1.390268 3.596115 9.039170 23.632139
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.079982 0.215941 0.558640 1.485399 3.945343 10.174837 27.322001
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.071871 0.199237 0.528608 1.442501 3.931911 10.397783 28.659720
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.064292 0.182879 0.497305 1.391864 3.890912 10.544161 29.813067
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.057845 0.168732 0.469999 1.348340 3.863287 10.722228 31.079623